Predicting the Future Distribution of Hawai‘i’s Cloud Forests

Completion date September 30, 2014
(Credit: Shelley Crausbay)
(Credit: Shelley Crausbay)

Location: Hawaiian Islands

How will cloud forests change in the future?

Hawai‘i’s cloud forests are the last remaining intact habitat for many endangered forest bird species and are essential for the islands’ water supply. This project predicts future distributions of cloud forests and species across high mountain ecosystems in Hawai‘i, which are experiencing rapid rates of change. The project develops the future distribution models by integrating products from paleo-records, a climate-vegetation network on Haleakalā, and new regional downscaling of future climate projections.

Project partners:

University of Wisconsin

University of Hawai‘i, Mānoa

International Pacific Research Center, University of Hawai‘i, Mānoa

Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder